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Patriots vs Broncos – AFC Championship Betting Preview
Is Broncos’ “D” Up to Slowing Brady?
By Charles Jay
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Everyone is aware that Tom Brady is one of the best quarterbacks off all time, and that at this stage of their careers, he is playing at a higher level than his counterpart, Peyton Manning. But, can the Denver Broncos’ defensive unit, generally considered to be the finest in the National Football League, compensate for that? This is a central question for those who will watch that team take on Brady and the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship Game, slated to begin at 3:05 PM ET at Sports Authority Field, and customers at BetAnySports have a chance to place wagers on this game in real time as they take advantage of the facilities that are available through Live Betting Extra.
Patriots vs Broncos – BetAnySports NFL BETTING LINE:
In the reduced juice NFL playoff odds established on this game by the folks at BetAnySports, the Broncos are the underdogs on their own home field:
New England Patriots -3 (+100)
Denver Broncos +3 (-110)
Over 44.5 points -108
Under 44.5 points -102
Brady had an MVP-caliber season for the Pats, and would have probably gotten a lot more attention for the award, if not for the 15-1 regular season of Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers. Brady had 4770 yards through the air and a ratio of 36 touchdowns to seven interceptions. He had to work without a healthy offensive line for virtually the entire year, and saw some of his offensive weapons go down with injuries as well. Last week he had 302 yards and two touchdowns in the win over the Kansas City Chiefs.
He had a 280-yard game in the meeting between Denver and New England on November 19, as the Pats lost a thriller in overtime. Are the Broncos equipped to deal with him here?
Denver can stop people; there is very little doubt about that. This year they ranked #1 in the NFL in a number of different categories. They allowed fewer yards per drive AND fewer points per drive than any other team in the league. Of course, it follows that they have yielded fewer total yards per game than anyone else (283).
They have surrendered just 3.3 yards per carry, and while that means something, it may not be so crucial, or meaningful, in this case, because the Patriots are not married at all to the idea that they have to run the football. But those backing Denver in the NFL playoff odds can be heartened by the fact that they have yielded just 5.6 yards per pass, and they will have to primarily deal with the short passing game Brady employs.
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We can say that to BetAnySports patrons because Brady, who gets rid of the ball faster than anyone in the NFL, will find that comes in handy against the league’s leading pass rush. The Broncos got to opposing quarterbacks 52 times this season, and the big culprits were Von Miller (11 sacks) and Demarcus Ware (7.5), although there are four other guys who have at least four sacks. This is the stingiest team on a per-play basis, allowing just 4.6 yards. But they don’t force the other QB into a fatal mistake all that often, with just 14 interceptions.
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