March Madness Betting Lines – Auburn vs North Carolina in 2019 Sweet 16

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It has been 33 years since the Auburn Tigers made it into the Elite Eight. So obviously this is a very “glorious” period of time for Charles Barkley’s alma mater. They have been very good this season at turning defense into offense. Well, can they do that against the North Carolina Tar Heels, a team good enough to defeat Duke in two of three games this season? That is something we are going to find out on Friday night as these squads hook up at approximately 7:29 PM ET at the Sprint Center in Kansas City.

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March Madness Betting Lines – Auburn Tigers vs North Carolina Tar Heels

In the NCAA Tournament odds that have been placed on this game by the people at BetAnySports, the Tar Heels are favored:

North Carolina Tar Heels -5
Auburn Tigers +5
Over 164.5 points -110
Under 164.5 points -110

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March Madness Betting Lines – CJ’s Take on Sweet 16 matchup between Auburn Tigers and the North Carolina Tar Heels

Auburn did a really good job of dismantling Kansas last time out, and in that game they just killed the Jayhawks with the triple, getting seven of them alone out of senior guard Bryce Brown. He forms one of the nation’s best backcourts with Jared Harper, who had 18 points and six assist in that contest. Under coach Bruce Pearl, the Tigers have been very adept at forcing turnovers; in fact, they have the best defensive turnover rate in the country at 25.2%. They forced Kansas to cough it up 16 times, but that was a team starting four freshmen. Maybe this North Carolina squad is going to be a different story.

The Tar Heels may have been understandably disinterested not to cover their first-round game against Iona, but showed what they could do against Washington, which employed the matchup zone but couldn’t deal with a team that had sufficient size and could move the ball around like the Heels, who had 18 assist on 32 made buckets. It should be noted that Washington was another team that prided itself on creating turnovers (third best in the nation).

North Carolina is not completely immune to turning the ball over, but they can beat the press much more often than not, and it’s obvious that they can move the ball around, as they are second in the nation in assists. So that makes them a little harder for Auburn to deal with.

Coming into this tournament, Roy Williams’ squad had won 15 of their previous 17 games, losing only to Duke and Virginia, who presented them with different kinds of defensive challenges. And those two ACC squads are elite defensively; both of them are in the nation’s top 25 when it comes to defending against both two-pointers AND three-pointers.

When you look at Auburn, they are outside of the top 200 in both. And that is a big difference. In other words, if you can control the ball against them, you aren’t going to find nearly as much resistance as you would if you couldn’t.

Auburn is pretty dangerous from three-point territory, hitting 38%, and they heave up about half their shots from beyond the arc. The Heels are hardly below average when it comes to stopping treys (33%) and here’s the big difference – they are not going to be contested all that much going after rebounds, as they are seventh best on the defensive end and 16th on the offensive end (while Auburn is soft at 333rd). Rebounds are important here, and the ACC rep has the huge advantage, which could be the game-changer.

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March Madness Betting Lines | Auburn vs North Carolina in 2019 Sweet 16

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March Madness Betting Lines - Tarheels 5 vs Auburn, O/U 164.5. JOIN NOW, enter PROMO CODE BAS30 to get a 30% SIGN UP BONUS up to $1000! US PLAYERS WELCOME!

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Charles Jay

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